Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009946 0.011986 0.014533 0.018022 0.022802 0.029321 0.039276
2024-10-20 0.007361 0.009612 0.012785 0.017816 0.026108 0.040383 0.070232
2024-10-27 0.006322 0.008730 0.012433 0.019011 0.031685 0.058897 0.140093
2024-11-03 0.005696 0.008223 0.012394 0.020566 0.038774 0.088001 0.320007
2024-11-10 0.005242 0.007853 0.012433 0.022227 0.047334 0.134569 0.930383
2024-11-17 0.004694 0.007207 0.011798 0.022240 0.051955 0.179344 2.757232
2024-11-24 0.004221 0.006605 0.011104 0.021857 0.055300 0.230049 12.118009
2024-12-01 0.003723 0.005885 0.010037 0.020239 0.053619 0.250808 52.169367
2024-12-08 0.003362 0.005373 0.009305 0.019259 0.053719 0.289260 28740.157740
2024-12-15 0.003128 0.005069 0.008956 0.019184 0.057410 0.381759 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002971 0.004890 0.008841 0.019723 0.064385 0.576595 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002804 0.004673 0.008606 0.019846 0.069791 0.840156 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002550 0.004281 0.007970 0.018754 0.069120 1.027850 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002373 0.004029 0.007630 0.018539 0.073777 1.635810 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002294 0.003966 0.007725 0.019803 0.090364 5.281922 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002235 0.003938 0.007897 0.021451 0.114892 60.497570 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002180 0.003910 0.008065 0.023215 0.148132 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002067 0.003740 0.007828 0.023228 0.163665 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001951 0.003554 0.007518 0.022821 0.173681 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001806 0.003289 0.006956 0.021104 0.160353 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001694 0.003091 0.006562 0.020066 0.156705 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001620 0.002976 0.006385 0.019987 0.169713 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001571 0.002912 0.006346 0.020558 0.198759 NaN NaN